Bets on the youth hockey world championship. Youth Ice Hockey World Championship: bookmakers estimated the chances of the Russian national team

The Russian national hockey team is unlikely to be able to count on winning the MFM in hockey in 2019, such a forecast was given by bookmakers for today. According to analysts of bookmakers, the main favorite of the IIHF World Youth Championship (under 20) is the team of Canada. Also because the tournament will take place in Canadian Vancouver and Victoria. For the second place, most likely, the US team will fight. The dates of the MFM-2019 are from December 26 to January 5.

Bets on the winner of the MFM in hockey 2019

Bookmaker "Marathon" accepts bets that the Canadian team will win home championship world with a coefficient of 1.96. Accordingly, the probability that this bet will play is about 50 percent. You can bet on the US team with odds of 5.00 (the chances are exactly 20 percent). On Russian team bets are accepted with a coefficient of 6.50 (the chances are about 15 percent). Sweden is next with a coefficient of 7.10 (about 14 percent chance), Finland - 7.50 (about 13 percent chance) and the Czech Republic - 12.00 (about 8 percent chance).

According to experts, the Russian team will undoubtedly be quite difficult in Canada to compete for the main prize of the tournament. In addition, the head coach of the Russians Valery Bragin did not take promising forward Dmitry Zavgorodny to the MFM-2019. A pupil of the Omsk avant-garde performs in the club of the Main Junior hockey league Quebec "Rimouski Oceanic". In addition, the Carolina Hurricanes will not let forward Andrey Svechnikov go. The 18-year-old Barnaul native was selected second overall in the 2018 draft.

Schedule of MFM-2019 matches

Valery Bragin's team will play with Denmark (December 27), the Czech Republic (December 28), Switzerland (December 30) and Canada (December 31) in the group stage. Four teams from two groups will advance to the playoffs. Quarter-final matches will be held on the second of January. The semi-finals will take place on January 4th. Final match and game for bronze medals scheduled for January 5th. A more detailed tournament schedule can be found at

On Sunday, December 30 at 04:00 Moscow time, the next match of the World Youth Championship will take place in Vancouver, where the hosts of the tournament, the Canadian team, will host the Czech team. Both teams started the tournament with victories, but if the Czech Republic with great problems coped with the resistance of the Swiss team only in overtime, then the Canadians swept the Danish team from the site - 14:0. Were the Czechs able to establish a problematic line of defense and discipline in the team that were limping on both legs these days, and whether they will be able to provide the Canadian team with a decent welcome, we will be able to find out after the end of this match.

Odds 1x2 from(on 28/12 03:40)

  • Draw - 10.0 (P x = 9.2%)
  • Margin – 9.24%

Canada U20

The hosts and one of the main favorites of the World Cup. Without Rasmussen, Vilardi and Robert Thomas missing this tournament due to injuries, the Canadians are still a serious threat to any opponent. Head coach Team Canada Tim Hunter, to the surprise of many experts, opted for destruction. It will be interesting to look at this version of Canada's game. All players of the national team are well trained tactically, but who will bring zest to the game of this team. Of the creative players, we can only note Fross, Glass, Smith and Lafrenier. Canada began its first match at the tournament with a mockery of the Danish team - 14:0. Of course, it is difficult to draw conclusions from this game. After the first period, the Canadians were leading 3-0, and in the second period, even the goalkeeper of the Canadians, Michael DiPietro, earned a point for the transfer. 14:0 score is remarkable, but here it is more worth talking about the weakness of the Danes than the strength of the Canadians. It is worth remembering that in the control matches before the championship, the Canadians experienced difficulties in the match with Switzerland (5:3), and the Finns lost at all (2:5).

Czech Republic U20

The Czech national team, unlike previous championships, brought together almost all the strongest young hockey players, with the exception of Khytil, whom his Rangers club decided not to let go to Vancouver. But the Czechs have at least two good links. One combination by youth standards can be considered top - Kaut / Lauko - Nechas - Zadina. There are certain problems in the defense, which manifested itself in the very first match with Switzerland, but there is a very reliable goalkeeper - Shkarek. In the first match of the tournament with the Swiss, the Czech team started the meeting very well, but then, due to the grossest mistakes of the defense and a very large number of deletions, they barely crawled into overtime. In extra time, the team pulled themselves together and defeated the opponent. Kaut (he created the second goal as well) and Kvasnichka scored the pucks at their own expense. If the Czechs before the start of the match are not afraid of the seemingly monster destroyers from the Canadian team, then they have a chance to impose their hockey on the hosts.

Odds 1x2 from(on 28/12 03:40)

  • Canada U-20 win - 1.10 (P 1 = 83.2%)
  • Draw - 10.0 (P x = 9.2%)
  • Czech Republic U-20 Win - 12.0 (P 2 = 7.6%)
  • Margin – 9.24%

Match prediction

Of course, according to betting companies, the team of Canada is considered the favorite of the match. " " evaluates her chances of winning in regular time with a coefficient of 1.16. A draw is offered for 9.04 and the victory of the Czech team - 8.76. Canadians are the favorites not only of this meeting, but of the entire youth championship. However, the Czech national team has gathered a lot of masters who will be able to compete with the hosts in this meeting. Therefore, I consider it possible to make the following prediction for this match:

  • victory of the Czech Republic U20 with a +3.5 handicap - with a coefficient from Winline - 1.63

Publication date: 28/12/2018 03:40

Full list for the match:

bookmakers

Odds for the outcome of 1x2 prematch

Outcome 1x2 (prematch)
P1 1.136 1.15
X 10.5 9.31
P2 10.5 9.18

Odds for the outcome 1x2 live

Exodus 1x2 (live)
P1 1.04 1.1
X 15 10.5
P2 40 17.2

Very little is left before the start of a major youth event, the 42nd Ice Hockey World Championship. This time the championship peace will pass in the American city of Buffalo. The tournament starts on December 26 and ends on January 5.

Groups.

The commands are divided into two groups:

Group A: USA, Canada, Denmark, Slovakia, Finland

Group B: Russia, Sweden, Czech Republic, Switzerland, Belarus

Russian national team schedule:

26.12 Russia - Czech Republic

28.12 Russia - Switzerland

29.12 Russia - Belarus

31.12 Russia - Sweden

Forecast for the tournament.

Last year, the teams gave heat, the teams of the USA and Canada met in the final, the match turned out to be dramatic, then one team led in the score, then the other, as a result, the outcome of the match was decided in the after-match shootouts, in which the representatives of the American team were stronger, 5-4 . In the match for third place, the teams of Sweden and Russia met, no one thought that the Russians were able to win this match, even the Swedes themselves were 100% sure of their victory, but the Russian youth team, “not a bastard of a shield”, gave such a fight, that the victory was ours, the result is 2-1, bronze.

Since 2011, the Russian youth team has been constantly in the top three, this is one of the most stable European teams, the favorites of the tournaments, as a rule, include the Swedes and Canadians, Russia, the USA and Finland remain in the shadows, but as tournament statistics show, these teams are capable of much .

Literally a month ago, the youth team of Russia finished the super series against the young Canadians, and performed with dignity, the score in the series was 3-3, the Canadians won in shootouts.

Bookmaker quotes for MFM2018

Now let's look at the bets that bookmakers give on the winner:

USA - 2.60, Canada - 3.55, Russia, Sweden - 6.50.

Why is it profitable to place a bet right now?

The reason is clear, then the odds will only fall, the less time before the start, the smaller the odds. Who to bet on? Definitely the Canadian team, although it is not the hostess of the tournament, I think it is their main favorite of the tournament, the bookmakers give a good odds for their victory, they will definitely play in the final, where there is a possibility of a win-win option, to make a fork, in the final of such an explicit odds for the Canadian team You won't see. It will be difficult for the Americans, they are pushing their stands forward, it's good, will they have the strength to cope with such pressure, after all, these are young people, a lot of energy.

The Russian team, judging by last matches with the Canadian team, okay, we have a leader, Kirill Kaprizov, a couple of Armenians who score, what it needs to win (just kidding). The Swedes burned out last year with their golden youth, if they made the right conclusions, they will reach the final. My alignment, the next in the top three winners is the following: Canada, Sweden, Russia, USA.

On Sunday, January 6 at 00:05 Moscow time At the Rogers Arena in Vancouver, the match for third place in the World Hockey Championship (U-20) between the national teams of Russia and Switzerland will begin. We will bring Interesting Facts about the teams, consider the odds of bookmakers, make our own forecast, and also find out what bets on this moment the most relevant.

Russia

Valery Bragin's team started the tournament with a 4-0 victory over the Danes. After that, she outplayed the Czechs with great difficulty - 2: 1, and both goals were scored in the minority. There were also difficulties with the Swiss - in the middle of the second period, the Russian team was losing 1:3, but still managed to turn the tide of the meeting and won 7:4. But in new year's eve the Russians acted almost perfectly and managed to defeat Canada in the match for the first place in the group - 2:1.

In the quarterfinals, Bragin's team met with the Slovaks. The Russians did not experience any problems - 8:3. In the semi-finals, which many dubbed the early final, the Russians, alas, lost to the US team - 1:2.

The Russian team is approaching the bronze medal match with 5 wins in 6 matches. The total goal difference is 24:11. More Russians were thrown only by Canada, only the Finns let in fewer of them.

Russian national team goalkeeper Pyotr Kochetkov ranks fourth in the percentage of reflected shots (94.51). Forward Grigory Denisenko, who scored 7 points (3 + 4), is third in the list of top scorers.

Switzerland

The Alpines began the championship with an offensive defeat from the Czechs - the decisive puck flew into the gates of the Swiss already in overtime (1:2). The defeat from the Canadians turned out to be minimal - 2:3. In the third round, the guys of Christian Wohlwend took out Denmark (4:0), and then miraculously did not catch the Russian team - in the middle of the second period they were leading with a score of 3:1 and got the right to two shootouts, but in the end lost 4:7.

The "Crusaders" finished the group in fourth place and got into the quarter-final rivals the winner of group "B" - the Swedish national team. It is clear that the Scandinavians were considered the favorites, but the uncompromising guys from Central Europe managed to create a miracle and won with a score of 2:0. On throws, by the way, the Swiss lost the minimum - 35:41.

The Swiss were not enough for the semi-final. The team of Christian Wohlwend without options lost to the Finns with a score of 1:6. Interestingly, at the same time, the Alpines almost doubled the opponent - 33:17.

The Swiss national team approaches the match for third place with 2 wins in 6 matches, the total goal difference is 14:18.

Swiss goalkeeper Luca Hollenstein leads the league in save percentage (97.75). Forward Filipp Kurashev, who scored 6 points, is in sixth place in the race of top scorers.

Odds for the match from the bookmaker

He calls the Russian team the favorite. The coefficient for the victory of the Bragin team is 1.30. At the same time, the possible success of the Swiss is estimated by a factor of 6.50. You can bet on a draw (in regular time) with a coefficient of 7.45.

The coefficient on TB(5.5) is 1.58, while on TM(5.5) it is 2.37.

P1xP2TB 5.5TM 5.5
Put1,30 7,45 6,50 1,58 2,37

Bet on the match Russia - Switzerland

The Russian team played a few hours earlier, which is important - less than a day will pass between the semifinals and the match for third place for the Swiss. In addition, Russia is obviously stronger - they won 5 out of 6 matches, while the Alpines got to such a late stage only thanks to the peculiarities of the regulations and the unexpected victory over Sweden. Bragin's team must win, and with a margin.

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Lev Lukin does not believe in the Russian youth team. Throw tomatoes at him.

Belarus

The youth team of Belarus, after a year of absence from the MFM elite, returned to the cohort of the strongest U20 teams. Yuri Faikov's wards got into a group with the teams of Russia, Sweden, the Czech Republic and Switzerland, and the main task of the Belarusians at the tournament will be to maintain their residence in the elite division. Hockey in Belarus has been going through a hard time lately. better times, the adult team is looking for reinforcements in the form of naturalized legionnaires, which suggests that talented Belarusian hockey players appear in very limited quantities.

Therefore, it is doubly difficult for the youth team to compete on equal terms with their rivals, who in such tournaments run around future stars.

Forecast: Belarus will compete in the group with the Czechs and the Swiss for access to the playoffs, but, most likely, Faykov's team will have the last place in their top five and a consolation round, following which the Belarusians will again be in the first division of youth hockey.

Slovakia

But to predict who will become a potential rival of Belarus in the repechage round seems to be a very difficult task. Obviously, the US, Canada and Finland teams are unlikely to allow such a failure, although the same Finns fought for the right to remain in the elite a year ago. But it is difficult to imagine that the Suomi team will be left without the MFM playoffs for the second year in a row, which means that the Danes and Slovaks will compete for the last vacancy in the relegation games in group A.

Recently, the level of these teams has leveled off, the Slovaks have not been among the strongest for a long time national teams, while the Danes, on the contrary, have more and more talented players. Last year, Slovakia in its group was ahead of only completely hopeless Latvia, and the Danes, in turn, presented a sensation, taking second place in their top five.

Forecast: over the year, the situation in the Slovak youth hockey has not changed dramatically in better side, the wards of Ernest Bokrosh will play in the repechage round and there they will retain the right to play at the MFM-2019.

Denmark

Yes, the Danes should get into the playoffs, but it would be very naive to hope for Olaf Eller's team last year's success. In the group of the Scandinavians, Canadians and Americans are traditionally strong at the youth level, the Finns are angry after last year's failure, and it is unrealistic to take second place in such a company again.

Forecast: the main task of the Danes will be to show decent hockey in a match with favorites, as well as win main match in the group stage against the Slovaks. It seems that the Danish team will cope with this task, will reach the playoffs, where they will lose the first place in group B in the fight.

Switzerland

The Swiss team plays the role of dark horse, and MFM in Buffalo is no exception. It is unlikely that Christian Wohlwend's team will compete for leadership in Group B with the Swedes and Russians, although such a scenario will not be surprising, because there is always a sensation at the youth world championships. It is also hard to imagine the Swiss team fighting for the playoffs when they have Belarus in the group. Before the tournament, the most likely scenario is that the Swiss will play with the Czech national team for third or fourth place in their top five.

This is exactly what happened at last year's tournament, when these teams were separated by only one point, despite the fact that in face-to-face meeting the Swiss were stronger. They could have caused a sensation in the playoffs, but the US team, in a bitter struggle, still outplayed the team from the country of banks and cheeses.

Forecast: At the MFM-2017, Switzerland had Niko Hishir, the future first draft pick, and now the national team will have to do without him. Therefore, we predict the Wolvend team fourth place in the group and relegation in the quarterfinals.


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Czech

Before Buffalo, the Czech national team looks like the weakest team of the big six, and in the upcoming tournament, Philip Pechan's wards will have to work hard to destroy these ideas. 13 years youth hockey The Czech Republic has not seen the medals of the world championships, which also affects the results of the adult team, which has not looked like a favorite in major international tournaments for a long time.

Of course, at the future youth forum, the Czechs will get into the playoffs, but it will be possible to count on more only under a miraculous set of circumstances. In the group, the Pechan team looks objectively weaker than both Russia and Sweden, the Czechs will have to fight with Switzerland for the third or fourth line, although both positions are likely to be taken to the playoffs for the US or Canada teams.

Forecast: in this situation, the Czechs should try to take a higher place in the group, but we predict that they will not be able to jump above their heads, from the third place in the group they will reach the quarterfinals, the match in which will be the last for the Czechs in the tournament.

The Czechs will have to fight with Switzerland for the third or fourth line, although both positions are likely to be taken to the playoffs for the US or Canada teams.

Russia

The Russian national team goes to Buffalo with great memories, but it will be incredibly difficult for Valery Bragin and his team to repeat the success of seven years ago. As part of the Russian “youth team”, hockey players of the caliber of Tarasenko, Panarin and Kuznetsov are not currently visible, and the potential first number of the NHL draft next year, Andrey Svechnikov, is still too young.

Of course, we believe in the talent of Bragin and our guys, there is no doubt that Russia will reach the playoffs and is unlikely to take a place lower than the second. But any position, except for the first, with a huge degree of probability leads our team to Canada, the USA or Finland, and in matches against these rivals, Russia will not be a favorite.


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Forecast: The Russian team almost always swings for a long time at the youth world championships, and therefore rarely wins the group. It seems that the tournament in Buffalo will not be an exception, the Russians will take second place, and already in the quarterfinals, Bragin's wards will face unsolvable tasks. But let's not forget that our the best game The “youth team” under Bragin shows precisely when few people believe in it.

Russia will reach the playoffs and is unlikely to take a place lower than the second. But any position, except for the first, with a huge degree of probability leads our team to Canada, the USA or Finland, and in matches against these rivals, Russia will not be a favorite.

USA

At the last tournament, which was held on Canadian soil, the US team under the leadership of Bob Motzko won all the matches and won the gold of the 2017 MFM. From that lineup, Clayton Keller, who shines in Arizona, will not help the Americans, but many other hockey players, as well as the coach, will defend the title in Buffalo.

game on home ice will certainly cause a special mood among American talents, and in matches with competitors for leadership in the group, the US team can burn out, and the title of current world champion is a very difficult burden. Therefore, we predict for the young "Stars and Stripes" only the third place in the group after Finland and Canada, but an interesting continuation in the playoffs.

Forecast: in the knockout games, the Americans will most likely be in the medal zone, there is a high probability of participating in the final, but we will not see the second consecutive triumph of youth American hockey.

Sweden

The Swedes are taking a decent team to Buffalo and are the main candidates for victory in their group. The Czechs, Swiss and Belarusians will solve their problems, the Russians do not have enough margin of safety to win the group, which means that the Scandinavian team has every chance of success in the first stage.

The first place in the B-5 almost certainly leads Sweden to Denmark or Slovakia in the playoffs, which in turn almost guarantees the semi-finals for the Scandinavians.

Forecast: a year ago, the wards of Thomas Montena lost just at this stage, and then lost to the Russians in the bronze match. Now the scenario is in danger of repeating itself, only the opponent in the consolation final is likely to be different.

Finland

Last year's tournament ended for the Finns, who started it in the status of current world champions, with a complete failure. The Suomi team took the last place in the group and fought with the Latvian team for the right to remain in the elite division.

This slap in the face will surely be remembered by the Finns, and in Buffalo we expect revenge from them. It is unlikely that the wards of Jussi Ahokas are able to win the group against the powerful, and always briskly harnessing Canadians, but we give the second place in the top five A to Finland. Many experts and hockey specialists put on this team, the Finns have a number of brilliant talents, which are worth only Tolvanen, Heiskanen or top scorer WHL Heponiemi.

Forecast: in the playoffs, the Finns will certainly go far, we predict the final of the tournament for the Suomi team, where they will try not to lose the second time in the Canadian team tournament.

Canada

The head coach of the Canadian national team Dominique Ducharme is once again taking to the youth championship a team made up of powerful, scoring and skillful hockey players. It is not without reason that Canadians are considered the main favorites of this tournament every year: each junior league of this country can easily provide the coach of the “youth team” with more than one squad for the national team, and in front of Buffalo, Ducharme once again ran his eyes from a rich choice.

There is practically no doubt that the Canadians will perform well in the group stage and, most likely, take first place there. It will be difficult to stop Canada even before the final.

A year ago, in Montreal, the founders of hockey lost the decisive match of the US team in shootouts. Now on American ice Canadians will certainly want to recoup both for that defeat and for the missed victory on the ice of Buffalo in 2011.

Forecast: a year ago in Montreal, the founders of hockey lost the decisive match of the US team in shootouts. Now on the American ice, the Canadians will certainly want to recoup both for that defeat and for the missed victory on the ice of Buffalo in 2011. That's just in the rivals of Ducharme's wards, we see not the United States, and not Russia, but the Finnish team.